So what's the probability of your being born? Lets say a third of those (4 trillion or 4 x 10, So, the chance of your particular chain of ancestors having remained unbroken for all that time would be 1 in 2, To account for all 150,000 generations, we raise 400 quadrillion to the 150,000, Thus, the probability of your existing at all is about 1 in 10, This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. When you do the math, which I didnt but Dr. Binazir did: That means in every step of your lineage, the probability of the right sperm meeting the right egg such that the exact right ancestor would be created that would end up creating you is one in 400 quadrillion.. If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. The Art of Female Orgasm: Tue 21 June teleseminar with Nicole Daedone, Dating App-ocalypse: 10 Reasons to Delete Your Dating Apps Right Now, How can I best serve you? Popes point: that we are not accidents, that God chose to create you and [me]. No need for caution about drawing any conclusion other that the one he quite explicitly drew. There are only slightly more than 500 billionaires in America, making your odds of becoming one roughly one in 578,508. Step 3. So the probability of your parents chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Think about yourself.You are here becauseYour dad met your mom.Then your dad and mom conceived you.So a particular egg in your momJoined a particular sperm from your dadWhich could only happen because not one of your direct ancestors, going all the way back to the beginning of life itself, died before passing on his or her genesSo what are the chances of you happening?Of you being here? To illustrate how precious each human being is, self-help author Mel Robbins said during a 2011 Ted Talk that the likelihood of you being born as you has been calculated at about one in 400 trillion. Step 1. Thank you, Monsignor. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Part of HuffPost Wellness. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. Borels Law says such a number means something is impossible, and yet, its not. If this writer can grasp the concept then any one of those infinite monkeys can. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? The chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is 1 in 2. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Were we meant to be, each and every one of us? The chances that they would then get knocked up? His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. Think of yourself as dead. That means that in every step of your lineage, the exact the right sperm had to fertilize the exact right egg such that you would ultimately be created. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. 530 Lovett Blvd, Houston, TX 77006 +1 (713) 942-9600; pricing strategy of samsung mobile phones. Then the probability of Mr. And worry and fear? Probability of boy meeting girl: one in 20,000. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. *wink wink* Well, hello thereBom chicka wow wowits: The chance of every one of your ancestors outrunning dinosaurs, disease, war and pestilence to live to reproductive age and reproduce successfully is one in 10. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Then, I hope and believe, that He has written my name on the palm of His hand, so whenever He looks at His hand, He thinks of me. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. For the curious, that is expressed as one in 100,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000. So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. As an Amazon Associate I earn from qualifying purchases. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. By that definition, Ive just proven that you are a miracle. Rich E Cunningham from Ontario, Canada on May 14, 2020: Interesting article, guess we are lucky to be here! Step 2. A rational approach acknowledges that incredibly low probabilities is not the same as zero probability. This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. But its not even remotely comparable with 10^2,685,000. Probability of every one of your ancestors reproducing successfully: 1 in 1045,000. Just starting from your parents, the chance of them meeting and creating you is astronomically slim. He breaks the chances you were born down like this: The probability of your parents meeting is one in 20,000. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. This button displays the currently selected search type. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). So now we must account for that for 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000th power: Thats a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes of a book the size of mine with zeroes. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 1 in 2. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. And lets say the fly decides to bring the ENTIRE MOON back to the Earth, one grain of sand at a time. Mirabile visu (Wondrous to behold)! He says its similar to the probability of a turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere random in the oceans on Earth. So whats the probability of your existing? The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water into the middle of that life preserver. You may think You say that to everyone!. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Yes, youre here all right, and math can barely account for your existence, so tiny are the odds; but God has overseen every detail and knew you long before you were born. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. Maybe that one would have been better. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. Say that over the course of all human existence, the likelihood of any one human offspring to survive childhood and live to reproductive age and have at least one kid is 50:50 -- one in two. How fast does a laden fly fly? Based on the data from the CDC . Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. Fortunes were lost as players bet huge amounts on red in the erroneous belief that the law of probabilities dictated the ball would not drop on black again. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. dr ali binazir odds of being born jeffrey dahmer museum milwaukee You are not here by luck; you are here by the grace and will of God. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. Borels Law has since been enlisted by creationists and evolutionists alike to bolster their arguments. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? HubPages is a registered trademark of The Arena Platform, Inc. Other product and company names shown may be trademarks of their respective owners. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. You are the result of the fusion of one particular egg with one particular sperm. This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. I believe The Source who I call God loves us infinitely, unimaginably. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Author, Happiness Engineer & Personal Growth consultant creating tools for greater wellness & flourishing. Do you know the odds of being alive? If you need to flag this entry as abusive. Want to Read. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Fortunately, just such a person is poised at the keyboard right now, so lets get started. Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? This video makes a moving point, but it attributes our existence to luck. Binazir concludes that the odds of you being alive are . But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Otherwise they'd be different people, and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. The Nobel Prize winning poet Wislawa Szymborska once wrote about two lovers who liked to think they'd met entirely by chance, but no, she says, there was nothing chancy about it. The probability that you came about is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the water -- into the middle of that life preserver. Thats a ridiculously huge number. And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Which one's bigger? Each sperm and each egg is genetically unique because of the process of meiosis. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. So now we must account for those 150,000 generations by raising 400 quadrillion to the 150,000 power: That's a ten followed by 2,640,000 zeroes, which would fill 11 volumes the size of my book. Step 4. On one try. Or stalk me (with love.). : A definitive guide for smart women, How to Get Guys: The 6.5 Dating Phases of Men. So far, so good. You are, He Will Come Like a Thief to Take Back What Is His, Flee to the Truth When Tempted A Homily for the First Sunday of Lent, Ash Wednesday Breaks All the Rules of Modern Churchthink. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Here it should be realize it is a quest work. On top of that, to be born in a first-world country, the odds are even smaller. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power.
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